Junk Science Kills Tens of Millions — Oh, Well

by Bill O'Connell on April 27, 2009

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In 1962 Rachel Carson wrote a book called Silent Spring, about which some have credited the beginning of the environmental movement.  It also led to the subsequent ban of DDT in 1972.  DDT was accused of causing cancer and in damaging wildlife, particularly birds by causing eggshells to thin.

Prior to this DDT was believed to be a miracle, and the scientist who discovered it, Dr. Paul Muller, was awarded the Nobel Prize in 1948.  During WWII, GIs would cover themselves liberally with the substance before heading into the jungles for protection against malaria.  It is also believed that its use eradicated malaria in the U.S. and other developed countries.

Flawed Science

A 1969 study found a higher incidence of tumors in mice that were fed DDT.  Let’s think about that.  A single study found an increase in cancer in mice fed DDT.  However over 20 years of widespread use among humans did not show any increase in the cancer rate among those populations that used them.  Upon closer examination of the study they found that both the subject and control groups had increased levels of tumors. Oops.  It appears that both groups were fed moldy food that contained a carcinogen.  When the test was repeated, neither group had any tumors.

The studies of birds whose eggshells were thin, were also given closer scrutiny.  It was determined that the cause was due to a calcium deficiency, not DDT.  Actually during the period of greatest DDT use in the U.S. many of the bird species under study grew in numbers rather than fell.

Don’t Let Science Stand in the Way of Politics

In 1971, authority for pesticides was transferred from the Department of Agriculture to the newly formed Environmental Protection Agency.  What better way to kick off a new government bureaucracy than some bold action:

“In April 1972, after seven months of testimony, Judge Edmund Sweeney stated that ‘DDT is not a carcinogenic hazard to man. . . . The uses of DDT under the regulations involved here do not have a deleterious effect on freshwater fish, estuarine organisms, wild birds, or other wildlife. . . . The evidence in this proceeding supports the conclusion that there is a present need for the essential uses of DDT.’” — Sweeney EM. EPA Hearing Examiner’s recommendations and findings concerning DDT hearings. 25 April 1972 (40 CFR 164.32)

However, two months later, the new head of the EPA, William Ruckleshaus, instituted the ban on DDT.  This was done without him attending a single hearing on the matter as it was discussed over a seven month period or reading the transcripts.

The Tragic Results

In Ceylon, modern day Sri Lanka, widespread use of DDT cut the number of malaria cases from 2.8 million in 1948 to 17, that’s right, seventeen in 1963.  Spraying was stopped in 1964 and by 1969 the number of cases had risen again to 2.5 million.

It is estimated that in the last ten years alone the number of deaths worldwide from malaria is over 27 million.

There is an aggressive program today to raise money to buy bed nets to protect children in Africa and other parts of the world where malaria is still rampant.  Billions of dollars are estimated to be needed to buy and deliver these nets.  One of the positive factors about DDT was that it was inexpensive, around seventeen cents per pound.

If only had cooler heads prevailed, and the “science” looked at with a reasonable dose of skepticism, tens of millions of lives would have been saved and malaria, perhaps eradicated.  But when some in the environmental movement latch onto a position it soon moves into the realm of settled or consensus science.

The Next Blunder

So before we drive the world over the next environmental cliff, perhaps it’s time to tune out Al Gore, take a cleansing breath, and take a closer look at the science with clear eyes.  What the global warming, er, global climate change crowd is proposing would cost in the trillions. Let’s ask if what some scientists are saying that global temperature peaked about ten years ago, why is the earth cooling if we continue to pour more and more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere?  Why are we calling carbon dioxide, which is essential to life…we exhale it, trees take it in and give off oxygen…a pollutant?  What if we eradicate the pollutant, carbon dioxide like we did DDT?

Will there be anyone around to count the damage?

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  • edarrell

    Ceylon stopped spraying DDT in 1963. Hmmmm. Carson's book was published just a year earlier, in 1962. Is it your claim that EPA's banning of spraying DDT on cotton, in Texas and Arkansas in 1972, is somehow responsible for the end of use of DDT in Ceylon nine years earlier? How does that work? Does Rachel Carson have a time machine? Or can you read a map and a calendar?

    Seriously, Sweeney's findings were that DDT is incredibly destructive to wildlife; two federal courts had already ordered EPA to act. All Sweeney and Ruckleshaus disagreed on was whether EPA could restrict DDT since the pesticide manufacturers themselves imposed the same restrictions in their newly-proposed label. So, had Ruckleshaus not acted, the DDT manufacturers would have done it. Whom would you blame then?

    Did Ruckleshaus act correctly? The DDT manufacturers appealed. Two federal courts gave summary judgment to EPA — meaning that had every claim the manufacturers had been correct, they still would have lost at trial.

    No scientist claims that anyone is dying of malaria because of lack of DDT. Wherever you get those figures, they are not based on any study of DDT. As Ceylon did in 1963, most nations and the World Health Organization stopped using DDT because it had become ineffective against mosquitoes.

    This hoax story you've been victimized by is a key tool in the efforts to stop people from helping Africans overcome malaria. There are a lot of policy makers inundated with these claims, like George Bush, who then freeze in their boots instead of acting. Is that what you intended?

    Beating malaria requires education, better medicines, better health care systems, better prophylaxis of a physical nature (nets and screens against mosquitoes), concerted action, and money. DDT can play a small role in the work to eradicate malaria, but it is not a panacea, it is not cheap, and it is very damaging.

    Why do you fail to count the damage DDT does?

  • http://intensedebate.com/people/Bill_OConnel Bill_OConnel

    The point concerning Ceylon was not about timing but about the efficacy of DDT. When used it virtually eliminated malaria, when stopped, the malaria returned nearly to pre-DDT levels.

    It's curious that you say that, "Sweeney's findings were that DDT is incredibly destructive to wildlife," when in his own words he said, "DDT is not a carcinogenic hazard to man… DDT is not a mutagenic or teratogenic hazard to man… The use of DDT under the regulations involved here do not have a deleterious effect on freshwater fish, estuarine organisms, wild birds or other wildlife." So other than your saying so, what is your proof that Sweeney said the opposite?

    Why did Rucklehaus make his ruling without hearing a single hour of seven months of testimony on the subject and his own aids said he didn't read the transcript. What was the purpose of all of that fact finding if Rucklehaus didn't listen to it or read it? What was the basis of his decision?

    You say that the "manufacturers themselves imposed the same restrictions in their newly-proposed label," then you say in the next paragraph, "the DDT manufacturers appealed." Appealed what? Either they agreed with Rucklehaus or they didn't, which is it?

    The topic of the article is "Junk Science Kills Millions," and your defense is that two federal courts made a decision against it. You sound like a trial lawyer defending your profession rather than the facts of the case. Have you ever looked at some of the loony judgments coming out of the Ninth Circuit in California? Was OJ Simpson innocent because he had a trial presided over a judge. What if the real argument is that the manufacturers had good science, but lousy lawyers? How many big companies fold their tents as soon as they are sued because it is cheaper to settle that fight for what is right. I'm sorry, you'll have to do a lot better with facts than what a judge or two decides.

    You say, "No scientist claims that anyone is dying of malaria because of a lack of DDT." I am immediately skeptical of anyone who begins a statement, "No scientist…" You have consulted them all, obviously, and none dissents with your view, I presume? Or is this like the great global warming/climate change debate where it is "settled" and no dissent is allowed? It's an interesting formulation nonetheless, "No scientist claims that anyone is dying of malaria because of a lack of DDT." The availability of DDT or the lack thereof, has no effect on malaria if you don't use it.

    Your solutions are the typical closing of the barn door after the horse has run away. Better medicines? Well that assumes, too late, the patient already has malaria. Education? Okay, dump out standing water liked they learned when building the Panama Canal. What if you can't drain every puddle of standing water? Better prophylaxis of a physical nature? Okay, fine, but the mosquitoes are still waiting on the other side for an opening, a tear, or just for the victim to come out. Concerted action, whatever that bromide means, and money which of course is the answer for most statists. Use DDT, like they did in Ceylon, and the problem is solved. Use your methods and it's trench warfare for the next fifty years, buying more nets, more medicine, more education, more concerted action, all the while ignoring the root cause is the mosquito. If you don't solve the root cause by killing the mosquito, you don't solve the problem.

    As for your statement, "Why do you fail to count the damage DDT does," is because you haven't proved the damage DDT does. You talk about Sweeney's findings, but don't quote them or give a source of what those findings were. You say that "this hoax" story cause policy makers to freeze in their boots. The policy makers banned DDT, and millions of people have died because of it, and you quote no study or science that proves otherwise.

    So if you want a fair hearing, stop the platitudes, and come up with the facts.

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