Department of Education

Steve Israel Attacks Redistribution of Wealth, or Does He?

by Bill O'Connell on December 7, 2010

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For years Daniel Patrick Moynihan, one of the most thoughtful and erudite public servants we have had, published a document New York and the Federal Fisc that described the flow of dollars from New York and the great imbalance on the return trip.  Steve Israel seems to have taken up that mantle but his votes in the House are baffling.

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The Progressive War on Federalism

by Bill O'Connell on December 6, 2010

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I still find myself in awe of our Founding Fathers who created our form of government.  The competing ideas that they sifted through to come up with our Constitution and the safeguards in it is wondrous.  The designs upon it by the progressives is by equal measure disturbing.

  

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Comedian Lewis Black visited the Wall Street Journal and talked about the Tea Party and how he doesn’t understand them.  I couldn’t have made a stronger argument for the Tea Parties by pointing out how little the leftists and the statists don’t understand.

You Have To Pay For Stuff

I happen to enjoy watching Lewis Black entertain.  His hook is that of a very angry man sputtering about what is dumb and frustrating in the world and for me it really hits a chord.  It’s a pity he doesn’t see what is so dumb about his view of the Tea Parties.  In the WSJ interview he mentioned that he was poor at one time and the government actively pursued him for his last quarter.  That’s your first hint, Lewis.  He says now he is rich and when the government takes some of his money, guess what, he’s still rich.  Okay, good for you.  The Tea Party believes you are entitled to that and that is the American way.  But then he steps on his argument and says, you’ve got to pay for: policemen, firemen, educate our children and provide water.  I can’t argue with that, but what has that got to do with an out of control federal government?  That’s the problem.  Most members of the Tea Party aren’t protesting paying for police, firemen, education and water.  We don’t get those from Washington, we get them and pay for them locally.  We don’t believe there is a phenomenal brain trust in Washington that knows all and sees all and can tell us how to live our lives better than we can.

Later in the interview Black actually says, “I can agree with the Tea Parties in the way it [money] is used some times.”  What does the Tea Parties really believe in?  Limited federal government.  Limited to the powers granted to it by the Constitution.  Everything else, such as police, firemen, education, and water, should be provided by the state and local government.  Lewis, it sounds like you actually agree more with the Tea Partiers than against them if you only took the time to understand what we stand for.  You might actually find some new material for your act, such as:

“The Department of Education… THE Department of EDUCATION!!..those morons need an education.  Ever since that nitwit Carter created the damn thing they spent a TRILLION F*%!&#G DOLLARS, and now no one graduates HIGH SCHOOL!!!  BRILLIANT!!!”

If Lewis Black watched any of the town hall meetings over the summer they looked like his act.  The only difference being there were 150 Lewis Blacks (the citizenry) and one member of the audience (Congressperson), except the Congressperson wasn’t visibly laughing.

So, Lewis, should I look for you at the next Tea Party?

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Economic Malpractice

by Bill O'Connell on December 5, 2009

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Let’s say you were having a problem with your knee.  So you go to the doctor and tell him your problem. The doctor examines you and says he has to act quickly.  He says you need an operation and if you have it, you will experience some mild pain for a brief time, but if you don’t  the pain will get worse.  How bad you ask?  On the pain scale, designed by Andrea Mankoski, you are currently at a 6, described as, “Can’t be ignored for any length of time, but you can still go to work and participate in social activities.”  He says without the operation you will probably reach a 9, “Unable to speak.  Crying out or moaning uncontrollably — near delirium.”  With the operation you will probably peak at 8, “Physical activity severely limited; you can read and converse with effort; nausea and dizziness set in as factors of pain,” but then things will progressively improve.  The pressure he is putting on you to decide is intense, so you give him the go ahead.

The good doctor performs the operation and as he predicted the pain does get worse, but it doesn’t stop.  You are beyond delirium, you are reaching level 10, “Unconscious.  Pain makes you pass out.”  Your medical proxy, demands the doctor tell her what went wrong.  The doctor shrugs and says it was worse than anybody thought, but then says the surgery is working better than expected. ”What the hell did you do in that surgery, you screw-up?” your proxy demands.   The doctor, just smiles, and turns on his heel ands walks away, leaving your proxy standing there sputtering, desperately trying to find the words to express her disbelief and outrage.  When she finally regains her composure, standing there all alone, she reaches for her cell phone to call a malpractice attorney.

Economic Stimulus Surgery

Dr. Obama told us, upon taking office, that we desperately needed a stimulus package or the unemployment rate would continue to rise.  He said without a stimulus package, the unemployment rate would rise to 9%, if we did NOTHING!  His able assistants, Harry “the Healer” Reid, and “Nurse” Nancy Pelosi, slammed through the $787 billion package.  We were saved!  Unemployment would not rise above 8% before starting to fall.  But there isn’t a happy ending to this fairy tale.  The unemployment rate rose past 8%; it rose past 9%; it rose past 10%.  So when Dr. Biden steps to the microphone and says the stimulus is working better than expected, why isn’t someone putting a straight-jacket on him and carting him off?  Why isn’t someone pointing out that the stimulus may have actually made the problem worse?  Team Obama said themselves that it would have been better to do nothing. The unemployment rate would have peaked at 9%.  Why are they getting  pass?

Non-stimulating Stimulus

Look more closely at the stimulus, which we now have had time to do.  Extending unemployment benefits does not create jobs.  Giving teachers a raise, does not create jobs.  Spending 80% of the stimulus funds so far in the Department of Labor, the Department of Health and Human Services, and the Department of Education doesn’t speak to job creation.  It speaks to a sop to their union backers and the creation of their impossible to measure metric “jobs saved.”  Only $4 billion so far has gone to the Department of Transportation and their “shovel ready” projects.  Even these, while a help to construction workers, doesn’t do a thing for laid off bank tellers, software engineers, or FedEx employees.

The Obama administration is spending us into oblivion,  while pouring gasoline on to the unemployment fire with their ill conceived and basically botched stimulus plans.  What is needed are tax cuts that will allow the market to direct the resources where they will do the most good and get the economy moving again.  Instead Obama is taxing and spending our way to economic disaster. What we need is a sharp curtailment in government spending and to shrink the size of the federal beast. Is there a good economic malpractice trial lawyer out there?

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Jobs Jive

by Bill O'Connell on December 4, 2009

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There was a commercial not too long ago where a young man looked out his window to the village green where a bundle of money had just fallen.  He calls his wife/girlfriend over to show her.  She suggests running down and getting it, but he says, no, let’s wait.  Next you see a frizzy headed guy down on the green who screams, “MONEY!!!!”  In seconds, people came out of the woodwork and scoffed up all the money while the young couple looked on.

The image of that commercial popped into my head as I considered the job summit being led by President Obama.  To me, the young couple represented the government pondering how to direct the economy to achieve this specific goal or that.  The mob on the green was the free market.  While the government dithers over what kind of legislation to write, which special interest groups to pay off to pass it, how to develop incentives to get private industry to do this or that, if they would just cut taxes and get out of the way, the free market would get to work creating jobs where they are needed, not where some bureaucrat thinks they should go.

Uncertainty

The biggest cloud overhanging this economy is uncertainty.  The Obama administration is slamming through enormous changes: a $787 billion Porkulus package, cap and trade, health care.  Businesses look at this combined with the accumulation of massive government debt, tax increases rather than cuts (yes letting the Bush tax cuts expire is a tax increase, not just the expiration of tax cuts as Speaker Pelosi tries to spin it) and they don’t know what hiring that extra employee is going to cost, let alone what it will cost to keep the employees they already have.  So they don’t hire until the dust  settles and they can calculate the impact.

“Tax incentives for job creation are “worthy of further consideration,” he said, while adding that the administration is also set on making a big push in the area of green jobs.” – President Obama at Jobs Summit

“Worthy of further consideration”?  Since conservatives have been calling for tax cuts for a year now, this kind of statement in Obama-ese translates thusly, “I have to make a nod to the right, to acknowledge that I heard them, but it ain’t happening.”  Couple that with the “big push in the area of green jobs.”  We are in the midst of the scientific scandal that the “settled science” of man-made global warming could be the greatest hoax since Bernie Madoff, and Obama wants a big push in the area of green jobs.  What if that area collapses because the urgency that Al Gore has been screaming about is no longer urgent?  It’s government planning on the order of Soviet five-year plans or Mao’s Great Leap Forward programs.  It harkens back to Jimmy Carter’s giant Synfuels project that was going to convert coal into oil, until oil prices fell and the project imploded, but not before billions of tax dollars were poured into that rat hole.

How Simulating!

If you listen to Joe Biden, the stimulus plan is working better than expected.  But let’s take a closer look.  As of about three weeks ago only $120 billion of the stimulus money had been spent. (So why is Congress looking at another stimulus with over $600 billion left to spend in the first one?)  Of that money, 80% went to the Department of Education, Health and Human Services, and the Department of Labor.  What about all the “shovel ready” projects?  Only about $4 billion has gone to the Department of Transportation.  Feel better?

Jobs Summit Attendees

So who is meeting with President Obama at the jobs summit?  Well first let’s look at who was not invited:

  • U.S. Chamber of Commerce — they have butted heads with Obama over health care and climate change policies
  • National Federation of Independent Businesses

I don’t know about you, but I think they might have an idea or two about how to create conditions that let the free market create jobs.  As for the attendees:

  • Service Employees International Union (SEIU) officer
  • President of the American Federation of Teachers — a union of workers in a government run monopoly
  • United Food & Commercial Workers International Union
  • CEOs of some Fortune 500 companies

How many jobs do unions create, not occupy, create?  Think of the auto industry, steel industry, public K-12 education, the Postal Service, and government in general.  Do they bring images of thriving, vibrant, engines of job creation?  Or is the image more of the basket cases of the U.S. economy?  This is not a slight against the union workers themselves, but rather of their leadership who create so many restrictions on job rules to artificially create the need for more jobs.  There motto is: why have three people do the work, when you have five do it?

As far as big business is concerned, let me dispel the thought that conservatives and big business go hand in hand.  In many cases big business looks to cut deals with the government to protect their industries and markets from upstart companies.  They have gotten big and lethargic, rather than nimble and vibrant.  Small businesses create about 80% of the jobs in the U.S. and they didn’t have a seat at the table.

So was the jobs summit about creating jobs or just jive talk?  If you want a real jobs summit see what American Solutions was hosting in Cincinnati, Ohio and Jackson, Mississippi.  They actually discussed ideas that would work.

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Surprise! Smaller Class Sizes Haven’t Improved Education

by Bill O'Connell on February 22, 2009

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But while state legislatures for decades have passed laws — and provided millions of dollars — to cap the size of classes, some academic researchers and education leaders say that small reductions in the number of students in a room often have little effect on their performance.  — New York Times, Feb. 22, 2009

Well shut my mouth!  School taxes have been growing at an extraordinary rate and at the same time a high school graduate comes in for a job interview who cannot even put together a comprehensible sentence.  We created a federal Department of Education that since it’s inception has spent over $1.3 trillion dollars, with improvements in education that are marginal at best.

What happened?

This has not been an effort to improve education.  If you cut the size of the class in half, you have to double the number of teachers.  This has been a jobs program for the teachers’ union and the Democrats have wholly supported it because the teacher’s unions are in the Democratic camp.  Once again we have our government conspiring to empower themselves at the expense of the American people.

When I went to K-12 school, my classroom was typically 28-33 students.  My friends who went to Catholic school had some classes that numbered 50 students in a class.  I learned, they learned.  You would think that cutting class sizes in half would double academic performance or better.  If not, why on earth would you do it?  Why would you spend twice as much on teachers, since compensation is typically 80% of a school’s budget, if you were only going to get a 10% improvement in performance?  If that is the extent of the return, you would probably look elsewhere such as in techniques or methods.

The Collapse of Discipline and the Supremacy of Self Esteem

I submit the reason for the lack of educational performance is lack of discipline.  If a teacher can’t control their classroom, no one learns.  The marginal improvement in performance with reduced class size is not because they are a significantly better learning environment, but because you have reduced the teacher’s span of control.  Why can a class of 50 students in Catholic School still learn?  Because when the nun snapped her finger, everyone came to attention.  Everyone wore uniforms.  Everyone paid tuition.  If you got out of line, the nuns would put you back in line, pronto.  If the nuns weren’t able to put you back in line, either your parents would or you would get bounced out of school. With a 50% drop out rate in the City of New York, John Cardinal O’Connor asked the mayor of New York to give him the bottom 10% of the students in the New York City school system and he would educate them.  The mayor declined.

The other half of the problem is the focus on making sure everyone always feels good about themselves.  When my daughter was three years old she got a trophy for playing soccer, not for outstanding performance, but just for playing.  The trophy was almost as tall as she was.  I asked, “What do they get if they actually achieve something?  A car?”.  I played Little League baseball because I loved baseball.  When I got a paper certificate it was for making the All Star team or the World Series.

Today, in a relatively affluent school district I see about a dozen yellow jacketed security guards when I go to my children’s school.  We never had security guards at our school and I grew up in a less affluent district.  “Well, you can never tell, you know, with Columbine and everything.”  People talk about Columbine and say it’s because of those kids had access to guns.  Well kids have had access to guns since the Mayflower.  Why did it take until 1999 for Columbine to occur?  I believe it is because we are raising a generation of kids with eggshell egos.  If you tap them they crack.  That’s probably what happened to Klebold and Harris.  They didn’t know how to take a hit to the ego and bounce back.  They probably were never told, “Sorry, kid, you want the trophy you actually have to achieve something.”  Life’s little failures build character.  As Friedrich Nietzsche said, “That which does not kill us makes us stronger.”  But if mommy and daddy are always jumping in to make sure little Johnny never has a bad day, look out.

Low Cost Way to Improve Education

  1. Ditch the smaller class sizes.  The marginal improvement is not worth the cost.  Hire fewer teachers and lower school taxes.
  2. Re-institute discipline in classes.  Teachers shouldn’t be afraid of students.  Have the student’s wear uniforms, if the half-naked girls, and the boys walking with their pants around their knees are a distraction.
  3. Stop pampering the students.  To get a prize you actually have to achieve something.  That way you won’t have a mental breakdown the first time someone says no to you.
  4. You are not entitled to a “B” grade for showing up.  The teachers don’t give out grades, the student earn them.
  5. Close the Department of Education and put $1.3 trillion back into the economy in the form of lower taxes

We tried it their way for almost thirty years.  Why not give this approach a try for 30 years.  Oh, wait, we did try this for 360 years and it worked before we lurched off toward focusing on keeping Democrats in power rather than educating our children.

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Is the Groundswell Starting?

by Bill O'Connell on February 20, 2009

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The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people — Amendment X, United States Constitution

“I’m Mad as Hell and I’m Not Going To Take It Any More”

That quote from the movie “Network” popped into my head as I read about a legislator in Oklahoma, calling for legislative support for the 10th Amendment to the Constitution.  It passed the state assembly unanimously.  So what does this mean?  The sponsor of the bill, State Senator Randy Brogdan, explains:

The “federal government has been putting the screws on (the states) a little tighter and tighter each year” along with unfunded mandates of varying sorts.

And each time this happens, Brogdon explained, “We lose a little bit of our freedom and liberty.”

The federal government has been growing enormously and taking on more and more things that used to be handled locally, such as education, and welfare.  Other programs have not changed as the economy has, for example, as the percentage of the population that farms has decreased dramatically has the Department of Agriculture shrunk accordingly?

You Must Obey!

The way the federal government works around this is by saying, okay, you don’t have to do what we tell you, but you will get no federal funding if you don’t.  It seems like a Catch-22, no?  Since the 16th Amendment, which authorized the income tax, the federal government can decide how much to tax incomes and there is little that the states can do about it.  They take money from your pocket under threat of imprisonment, and will give it back to you only if you comply with their rules.

How Do We Fix This One?

It may require a constitutional amendment to fix as the 16th Amendment says:

The Congress shall have the power to lay and collect taxes on incomes, from whatever source derived, without apportionment among the several States, and without regard to any census or enumeration. — 16th Amendment to the Constitution

I’ll leave the legal mechanics to those better qualified, but I would propose the following.  That the federal budget shall include a breakdown of projected revenues derived from income taxes, broken down by source: individual, corporate, etc.  A state should then be allowed to refuse mandates and programs from, say, the Department of Education, and withhold from the IRS that proportion of tax dollars destined for the Department of Education from that state.

Certain departments should be deemed mandatory, such as Defense, State, Treasure, to name a few as these departments serve all citizens.

The legislation under consideration in Oklahoma will have little effect if the federal government can suck up as much money as it wants to from the states, via their citizens and then just keep the money if the states refuse to participate in the programs.  How do you determine which programs should be subject to the states discretion?  No money should flow from a state, to Washington, and then back to the state.  That is just plain stupid and wasteful, or a distribution of wealth, none of which is a government function. Paying for roads and infrastructure that does not cross state lines should be funded locally.  It is ridiculous that the federal government pays 90% of the cost of a highway that lies entirely within a city.  Look at the scandalous “Big Dig” in Boston.  Billions of dollars spent and parts of it are falling down.  Why should any of this be paid for by the people of Kansas, Oklahoma, Alaska, New York, Florida, et al.?

But the real answer is following the 10th Amendment.  It clearly states that the role of the federal government is spelled out in the Constitution.  If it’s not in the Constitution then that responsibility is left to the states or the people.  Show me where in the Constitution it says that the federal government is responsible for education.  It’s not in there and that department should be shut down tomorrow.

It’s Time to Rein the Monster In

The anger in the country is growing.  Those who acted responsibly are being told they have to bail out the irresponsible.  They are being told by “Buck a Day Biden” that it is their patriotic duty to pay higher taxes to help out.  Meanwhile half a dozen Obama appointees haven’t paid the taxes they owe, let alone paying more.  I give Biden the “Buck a Day Biden” moniker because that is how much this millionaire gives to charity.  He doesn’t want to spend his own money on charity, he wants the government to take your money to fund government programs to do that.

If you don’t think the anger is growing take a look at this.  Rick Santelli

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Not Very Stimulating

by Bill O'Connell on January 10, 2009

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At 06:00 this fine Saturday morning, the Obama folks released an analysis by their economic team of how their economic stimulus package is supposed to work (see full text here).  Quite frankly, I think there would be more stimulus from handing out coupons to Starbucks for a good shot of Joe, than this stimulus plan suggests.

Among the first things to catch my eye was the following statement:

“It should be understood that all of the estimates presented in this memo are subject to significant margins of error.”

There’s nothing like a good caveat to start off an explanation of how you’re going to spend nearly $1 trillion.  It brings to mind the old economic joke of how economists have successfully predicted eight out of the last five recessions.  While I understand the need to explain that these economists don’t have a crystal ball, you wish they were sitting at the table with a much smaller pile of our chips.

The thrust of the plan calls for “ substantial investments in infrastructure, education, health, and energy. “  To me that translates into bigger government than we have now.  Infrastructure is largely government owned.  There is also a significant lag effect in infrastructure projects.  Education is also government run.  After over $1 trillion in spending by the Department of Education, our education system is no better and probably worse than when it started.  Teacher employment has skyrocketed with the goal of making class sizes smaller with no demonstrable improvement in learning.  So, let’s pour more money into that arena and make sure we saddle communities with higher property taxes for years to come.  Sounds great!  Where do I sign up?  But, it does make the teacher’s unions happy.

Another chunk of the stimulus packages is to provide:

“State fiscal relief designed to alleviate cuts in healthcare, education, and prevent increases in state and local taxes.”

In other words, let’s take money from one government entity and give it to another, the reason being so that they don’t have to run a deficit at the state level.  Instead, we’ll run a deficit at the federal level.  Brilliant!

When you look at the charts, here’s where it really gets interesting.  The plan says it will take 5 years for unemployment to return to a 5% level, which is higher than pre-recession levels and it will reach this level with or without a stimulus package.  The difference is that the stimulus package will provide faster relief in the intervening period.  Their forecast is that unemployment will peak at 8% in 3Q09 with the stimulus, and at 9% in 2Q10, without the stimulus.  So we are to spend ¾ of a trillion dollars for a 1% improvement in the unemployment rate, for four years.  That’s an additional $193 billion a year for four years to get us to the same place we would be without the stimulus.  What the analysis doesn’t show is the stimulative impact on the economy of not having a $775 billion dollar deficit to pay off after the economy recovers.

The analysis then addresses the effect of tax stimulus:

“It is important to note that the jobs effects of temporary broad-based tax cuts would probably be considerably smaller. Large proportions of temporary tax cuts are saved, blunting their stimulatory impact on output and employment. The prototypical recovery package only provides for the first two years of the Making Work Pay tax cut. Our analysis assumes that households treat the tax cut as permanent in determining their short-run spending.” {emphasis added}

I would take that argument a step further.  As we saw earlier in 2008, there was a minimal stimulative effect from the $300-$600 tax credit that was issued.  Given a finite dollar amount, as the proposal states, most people are inclined to save rather than spend it.  I would argue that tax relief of any fixed dollar amount, that would be realistic as we can’t give everyone a check for $1 million, is going to have a limited stimulative effect on the economy.  However, when you cut tax rates, the stimulative effect is genuine and long lasting.  Why?  In the Obama plan, the tax relief is $500 or $1000, depending on if you file individually or jointly.  If I know that I am getting $500, regardless of how much I work, the stimulative effect of the $500 depends on what portion of my income that is. But like the $300, it is likely going to be used in these times for saving or paying down debt.  The fact that I may, and I repeat, may get another $500 next year, isn’t likely going to make me splurge on a new car.  However, if I know that my taxes will be lower on every dollar I earn, because of lower tax rates,  I am encouraged to produce more, work more, keep more, and spend more.

From an article in Reason this past Monday before Obama’s speech:

“Lets break this down. Its nice to see that the change we can believe in won’t alter the way Washington plays games with taxpayer money. We can give Obama the benefit of the doubt until we hear from him later this week, but if “officials” are really committed to “historical and empirical evidence” of how to get out of a recession, they won’t stimulus spend. Japan spent 10 years–its “lost decade”–trying to spend its way out of recession and wound up doubling unemployment and increasing the debt level above GDP. “Historically” real tax cuts for the wealthy and business world increased productivity and national growth, but they aren’t politically savvy, so we’re unlikely to see those too.”

So the search is for “popular” tax cuts, not effective tax cuts.

If you ask someone today which president is most responsible for the Great Depression, the answer will likely be Herbert Hoover.  However, Hoover was president for only three years of the Great Depression, while Roosevelt was president for eight of those years.  So while Hoover, without question, make some key errors that made the situation worse, Roosevelt couldn’t find his way out of the problem for almost three times as long, and yet the Democrats are using Roosevelt as a model but saying we have to do it bigger.  Are you getting a little concerned now?

Obama can use this to his advantage.  Just like Roosevelt and Hoover, Obama can and will blame the economic problems all on George W. Bush, for as long as Obama remains in office.  No matter what he does or fails to do, he can point to Bush and then to the Great Depression and say, hey, these things take a long time to fix.

Another point the Reason article makes is that recipients of the Obama tax cuts are very likely to be people who do not pay income taxes:

“While Americans know better what to do with their money than the federal government, many people got those checks who didn’t pay taxes in the first place, so they got other people’s money back. That redistributory system doesn’t encourage growth, it just hands out money.”

Americans do know better what to do with their money.  So here’s my prescription for the economic problem:

  • Make the Bush tax cuts permanent
  • Explore making the tax cuts deeper, going back to the rates that Reagan put in place starting the longest peacetime expansion in history.  Face it folks, if you want to get the economy moving, you have to give tax relief to people who actually pay taxes.  That’s were the money is, and it will be put to work to invest in businesses and create jobs, not to pay off the credit cards.
  • Start dismanteling the federal government.  It is too big, it spends too much money, programs that start never end, and it is eating up too much of the economy.
    • Why is education a federal issue?  Kill the Department of Education
    • Why is the Department of Agriculture as big as it is when only 2%-3% of the population work in agriculture
    • Why are food stamps a federal program rather than being at the state or local level?
    • Why can’t we fix Social Security and Medicare.  The average return on Social Security investments is about 1%-2% per year, which is dismal
    • Why was the Grace Commission report, prompted by Reagan and finding about $400 billion in savings, largely ignored?
    • Why is our tax code, that is estimated to cost taxpayers $200 billion per year to comply with, not replaced with a flat tax?
  • Kill the uncertainty overhanging the economy.  Tell businesses that the bailout window is CLOSED. Go back to running your businesses like you should, or face the consequences of your actions.  Government should clearly state what it will do and what it won’t do.  Without that, everyone will sit on the sidelines waiting for the other shoe to drop.

Once people stop waiting to hear what the government plan is, they will set about doing what they have to do for themselves.  Many of the problems that got us into this mess were caused by the government (Fannie, Freddie, Community Reinvestment Act, bailing out this company but not that one, keeping interest rates too low for too long, enormous deficit spending).  How any sane person thinks that “only the government” can get us out of it, escapes me.  This great country has enjoyed tremendous growth and prosperity through much of its history, with government playing a very small role.  But government programs and initiatives (New Deal, Great Society) have saddled us with a host of problems that we will be dealing with for many years to come.  It’s time that when the doorbell rings and we open it to hear, “I’m from the federal government, and I’m here to help you,” that we slam the door and follow the age old advice, “If you want something done right, do it yourself.”

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Borrow and Spend — Isn’t That How We Got Here?

by Bill O'Connell on January 8, 2009

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The American Recovery and Reinvestment Plan was unveiled today.  Well, a little short on details, but if there is anything true about Washington, it’s that the first thing you have to do is come up with a catchy name.  Once you craft a name that is as American as Motherhood and apple pie, the details are only a distraction.  You have to start with a name that members of Congress would be afraid to vote against.  “You mean, Congressman, that you are opposed to recovery?  And you’re against reinvestment?”  You can hear Katie Couric incredulously asking that question as the Congressman, undoubtedly Republican, struggles for an answer.

Mr. Obama said in his speech:

“It is true that we cannot depend on government alone to create jobs or long-term growth, but at this particular moment, only government can provide the short-term boost necessary to lift us from a recession this deep and severe,” Mr. Obama said. “Only government can break the vicious cycles that are crippling our economy — where a lack of spending leads to lost jobs which leads to even less spending; where an inability to lend and borrow stops growth and leads to even less credit.”

Only government can break the vicious cycles that are crippling our economy?  Okay, so the government is going to borrow and spend $1 trillion dollars, give or take a few billion, and that is going to solve the problem.  Borrow and Spend?  Isn’t that how we got here?

Between Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, The Community Reinvestment Act, Janet Reno in the Clinton Administration threatening banks if they didn’t make enough subprime loans, we had the housing bubble.  Millions of people borrowing money they couldn’t pay back for the sub prime people, and millions of people borrowing against the equity in their homes so they could spend on the good life.  The bubble burst, housing prices collapsed, mortgages went under water, and a deep recession followed.

So Barack Obama proposes borrowing $1 trillion and, unless he has a very large piggy bank from where he’s getting it, spending it to get the economy moving again.  If a significant number of Americans can’t manage their debts now, how are they going to shoulder another $1 trillion?  Let’s not forget, it’s We The People, the government is us.  There is no rich Uncle Sam who made a killing in pork bellies, who is going to foot the bill.  It is us, our children, and our grandchildren.  What we have to do is live within our means.

  • Make the Bush tax cuts permanent.  That will remove the uncertainty that has been hanging over the economy ever since the presidential campaign, blaming Bush for tax cuts for the rich.  Face it, folks, tax cuts work best when they are given to people who actually pay taxes.
  • Take the tax code and shred it and recycle it.  Let’s go to a flat tax that you can file your return on a post card.  It may put a lot of accountants out of work, but it costs Americans about $200 billion a year to prepare.  After five years that’s $1 trillion back in the economy.
  • Cut the federal government down to size.  Start with the Department of Education.  Since 1980 Congress has appropriated $1.06 trillion to the Department of Education.  How’s that working out?  My father dropped out of high school in 1934, and I would put him up against many of today’s high school “graduates” in being able to put a sentence together properly.  So what has all this education spending gotten us?  I’ll wait………….  Still scratching your head, I’m not surprised.  I know it’s gotten us a lot of teachers.  When your goal is smaller classroom sizes, rather than results, the only result you get is bigger payrolls.  So not only has the Department of Education squandered $1 trillion, many school districts have seen their property taxes skyrocket.  Why?  Well, once you hire all those teachers you have to pay them and in many, if not most areas, that funding comes from property taxes.  So the Department of Education hits your left pocket for $1 trillion and your tax assessor hits your right pocket, and what do we have to show for it?  Many colleges now have to teach remedial classes to their incoming freshman to get them up to a level where they can handle freshman courses.
  • Social Security and Medicare — These have to be tackled NOW.  This is the next ticking time bomb.  Social Security is a ponzi scheme that makes Bernie Madoff look like a piker.  Social Security’s inflation adjusted rate of return is about 1.23%.  Any effort by Bush to allow future retiree’s to divert a portion of their contributions into a fund that gets a better return, was shouted down by the Democrats and demonized as trying to starve granny.  Well, keep yukking it up, and call for another round of drinks, but the bill is coming due and when it does there will be no where to hide, and we better not be trying to digest Obama’s trillion dollar deficits at the same time.
  • Couple saving Social Security with term limits.  If you are not a politician for life, you might have the guts to do some heavy lifting, but if you are always running for office and your goal is to offend as few people as possible and give out government goodies to as many people as possible, you are naturally disposed to make the government bigger and delay any tough decisions until after you’re.  So don’t fix Social Security, just make it solvent long enough for you to pick up your spoils and go home.
  • Campaign Finance Reform — this folly gets rolled out around each election.  Here’s my modest solution.  If you hack back the size of government, there will be a lot less for lobbyists to lobby about.  If they have nothing to lobby about, they will have to go find something else to do. For those that are left, it will be a lot easier to see what they’re up to, since there won’t be that many of them.
  • Go back to every government agency and look at the legislation that created them.  Has that original mission been accomplished?  If so, shut them down.  When I worked in telecommunications, one of the Federal Regulatory bodies was the Rural Electrification Administration.  This agency was created during the Great Depression to bring electricity to farms.  I wondered what that had to do with telephones.  Well, the problem of bringing electricity to farms was pretty much solved, so they needed to do something else, so why not telephones.  I am sure that cell phones will be next if they are not already working on that.  But what we should really do, what we should have done years ago, is throw a nice party, thank all the employers and managers for a job well done, send them on their way and put the buildings up for sale.  But that doesn’t happen in Washington, agencies created for one purpose just morph into something else.
  • Following on the previous point is the Department of Agriculture.  It was raised to cabinet level in 1889.  In 1870, 70%-80% of the population worked on farms.  Today that percentage is 2%-3%.  So why do we still need a Department of Agriculture? Today it has an annual budget of $95 billion, so in the next ten years about $1 trillion will be spent in the Department of Agriculture.  The Federal beast grows without bounds.

There you have it, $3 trillion between tax filing, the Department of Education, and the Department of Agriculture.

The federal government must tighten its belt like everyone else and stop soaking up an increasing share of the economy.  Barack Obama and the federal government aren’t going to create jobs unless it is by making the beast bigger.  The majority of jobs are created in this country by small businesses.  What this economy needs is a degree of certainty.

If Obama really believes in fiscal discipline he should say the bailout window is closed.  It was opened to keep money flowing during a crisis, now all companies should get off the line, and go back to running their businesses.  As long as the window stays open there is uncertainty.  Can I get a bailout?  That company got a bailout, why not me?

What roils the markets is uncertainty.  If the market doesn’t know if the government is going to act or not act;  if the Bush tax cuts are going to continue or be rolled back;  if the auto companies are going to get bailed out or not;  is the government going to spend a trillion or not.  The U.S. economy and the American people can work this out.  The more government stays involved, the longer the uncertainty will remain, and the longer and deeper the recession will be.

As General Patton said, “Lead, follow, or get the hell out of the way.”

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Keep the Change

by Bill O'Connell on January 6, 2009

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Early this morning I was listening to a news broadcast where they said that this fiscal year’s federal budget deficit (October 2008-September 2009) will top $1 trillion which is more that triple the largest budget deficit in history.  That sounded pretty bad even considering the financial bailout that the government was undertaking to keep the money flowing.

Reading later in the day in the Wall Street Journal, Obama is quoted as saying, “We’re already looking at a $1 trillion budget deficit or close to a $1 trillion budget deficit, and potentially we’ve got $1 trillion deficits for years to come,” {emphasis added}.  Years to Come?  This is hope? This is change? I’ll give you a moment to try to wrap your mind around that statement before I continue.

If we see trillion dollar deficits for years to come, That’s All Folks!, our economy is gone, G-O-N-E.

Now I understand he may have just been saying that for the shock effect because he follows that statement with the another about the necessity of budget reform.  Budget reform? People, budget reform is not going to close a trillion dollar shortfall, and the very fact that the president-elect even utters the words is like shouting FIRE in a crowded theater.  Does he think that is leadership?  Here is where Obama’s lack of executive experience is on full display, and the man is yet to take office.

In an excellent piece on Cafe Hayek, Russ Roberts explains that if you cut taxes but you do not cut spending by an equal or larger amount, you are not really cutting taxes.  All you are doing is moving them around.  To put it another way, if you cut taxes today and spend the same or more, you are just deferring the taxes to later.  The debt will eventually have to be paid and it is paid through taxes.  So with trillion dollar budget deficits on the horizon, there will be a tax bill coming due that will crush the economy for us or for our children.

Someone needs to take Obama aside and tell him never to make such a public statement again, lest someone throw a net over him and carry him off to an asylum.  Second, he needs to get with his advisors and start hacking away at the size of the government and I recommend starting with the Department of Education.  Although it took 28 years for that department to spend a trillion dollars, it’s a start.  But this is not going to be fixed by tinkering or eliminating earmarks.  Our government has gotten too big and is meddling in too many things, causing many of the problems it is now trying to fix.  Government needs to be cut down to size.

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