Thanksgiving

Statically Stuck on Stupid

by Bill O'Connell on November 10, 2011

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photo by cliff1066

Just because Democrats are statically stuck on stupid, why do they think everyone else is? What I am referring to is static analysis of changes to the tax code. Democrats always want to have any potential changes statically scored. In other words if Democrats raise rates 10%, naturally, the government will get 10% more revenue. If on the other hand you cut tax rates 10%, a very bad thing, tax revenues will fall 10%. The problem is that they have been proved wrong every time. In other words, Democrats believe that if they raise tax rates you will be too stupid to change your behavior in response.

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Hit and Run Politicians

by Bill O'Connell on April 7, 2011

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Maybe it’s just me. Perhaps not having lived in the rarefied air of academia or politics, I have a more roll up the sleeves, get some dirt under the fingernails approach to what a job entails. Today it seems that politicians like to get in front of the cameras, fire off a sound bite and then go do something more interesting.

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Eric Holder as Free Agent

by Bill O'Connell on November 23, 2010

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The baseball season has ended.  The San Francisco Giants are the world champions for the first time since 1954 when they were the New York Giants.  The stadiums are empty and the spring training fields have not yet gotten busy.  But, fear not, the free agent season is heating up.

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Trapped by His Own Gift

by Bill O'Connell on January 3, 2010

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Daniel Henninger wrote in the Wall Street Journal:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid tells of congratulating freshman Sen. Obama on a phenomenal speech. Without a hint of conceit, Mr. Obama replied, “Harry, I have a gift.”

In the article he also describes this observation:

Harvard Law Prof. Charles Ogletree told how Mr. Obama spoke on one contentious issue at the law school, and each side thought he was endorsing their view. Mr. Ogletree said: “Everyone was nodding, Oh, he agrees with me.”

That’s essentially how he got elected.  With a heaping helping hand from the popular media, many people saw Obama as a blank screen upon which they could project their own views and see those as Obama’s own.  He’s our man!  He listens.  He cares deeply.  For a politician it is a phenomenal gift.  For a legislator it is an extremely valuable gift.  For an executive it is poison.

Pulling the Trigger

As a politician or a legislator you are in the role of persuader; somebody else makes the decision to vote for you or vote with you, respectively.  As an executive you are in the role of the decider.  You must make a decision and every decision, especially the tough ones are going to make a good many people unhappy.  Perhaps that explains why, in the Illinois Senate, Obama voted “Present” so many times.  Voting “Present” rather than “Yea” or “Nay” allowed him to hold that special place where everyone felt he agreed with them.  Too many decisions one way or another would have tarnished “the gift”.  So why is “the gift” poison for an executive?  If you don’t have “the gift” and you make a decision your opponents may disagree with you, but they are not surprised.  If you have “the gift” and you make a decision, those on the short side feel betrayed and angry, because they thought you agreed with them and then “sold out” and decided the other way.

Obama is in a tight spot where he has to make decisions and decisions have consequences.  When you make a decision it is very hard to make it seem like everyone got their way.  His complete lack of executive experience is telling.  If he had some executive experience, such as a mayor or a governor, he might have had enough practice learning how to make his decisions appear to satisfy everyone, as his campaign speeches did.  But that’s the thing about decisions.  If everyone supports them, they’re not much of a decision, like deciding to pardon a turkey on Thanksgiving.  Everyone enjoys the decision, but it’s really not what we elect presidents for.

I’ll Have the Waffles, Please

If you watch closely, you can see that Obama is struggling to preserve “the gift”.  He said he is for closing Guantanamo, but not yet.  He is for pulling out of Iraq, but no timetable.  The general he put in charge of Afghanistan, McChrystal, said he needed 40,000 more troops, but Obama could not bring himself to say yes or no.  He had to ponder, think, consult, weigh alternatives, and three months later, he gave McChrystal what he asked for.  Those on the left complained that he was not pulling out.  Those on the right complained that he wasted precious time while our troops were on the battlefield.  His backers tried to give him the fig leaf of showing gravitas.   He can’t seem to find the magic formula where everyone applauds him.  From “the gift” he has gone to “the anti-gift”.  Instead of satisfying everyone, he is finding that he is satisfying no one.

Move On

It’s time for Obama to “Move On”.  He should put “the gift” in his trophy case right next to his Nobel Peace Prize.  It got him to the White House.  How much more can he ask of such a thing?  So drop the pretense.  We all know he is a hard left guy, so he should just be who he is.  He may suddenly face a more hostile press, or they may love him more, although that would be hard to believe.  But when he makes a decision he will at least please his base, and then his opponents can fight his statist goals without being branded as racists.  As a hard left guy he will probably not get re-elected because America is not a hard left country, on the contrary the majority of Americans describe themselves as conservative.  But by choosing he can try to do what he can within one term.  It will be a battle. Obama’s poll ratings have dropped steadily since his inauguration and the Democrats are likely to lose seats in Congress this fall.  As an old acquaintance once said to me, “It’s like standing in the middle of the road.  Choose left or choose right, but choose; otherwise you get hit by traffic coming in both directions.”

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Much to be Thankful For

by Bill O'Connell on November 27, 2008

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Despite the economic turmoil, the bruising two year run for the presidency, and the continued danger around the world there is still much to be thankful for.

  • We have not been attacked since 2001 due to the efforts of President Bush and his administration
  • We have had another election, this one a particularly historic one, and we are in the midst of another peaceful transition of power, something that is the marvel of the world that we have been able to do this for over two hundred years.
  • There is talk about the worst economic times since the Great Depression, which is what we typically hear each election season such that it trivializes those hard times.  These are probably the worst economic times since the Carter Administration, but even with that interest rates are no where near the 20%+ they were back then, unemployment is still in single digits, lower than in the Carter years and no where near the 25% of the Great Depression
  • Business is being conducted,  jobs are being posted, and we will get through this

It is a time to reflect on what we have, despite the challenges, and how great this country is.  To help me stay grounded I have always enjoyed reading two articles that are published each year at this time in the Wall Street Journal.  The first tells the story of the Pilgrims and their journey to the New World and how having made that decision there was no turning back. You can follow the link to it here, The Desolate Wilderness.

The second article is called And The Fair Land which was written in 1961.  It seems that a number of the things it mentions are still current.  It is a testament to the fact that we will always have challenges, but as Americans, we will find a way to overcome them.  The key to this is to allow the American people the freedom and liberty to try, experiment, and find solutions.  The less government gets in the way, the more confident I am that we are only limited in by our imagination.

Have a Happy Thanksgiving

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