First we were told we had to pass the stimulus bill because if we didn’t unemployment would rise to 9%. The good news was that there were hundreds of shovel ready project raring to go. Later we learned that “shovel ready was not as shovel ready as we expected.” $800 billion dollars of squandered stimulus dollars later, unemployment is at 9%. But what about a real shovel ready project that doesn’t need taxpayer dollars?
Wall Street Journal
Did anyone not see this coming? An article in yesterday’s Wall Street Journal reports that new home sales plunged. Why? The government’s meddling tax credit for first time home buyers expired and gee, the trend didn’t continue? What a surprise. Meanwhile the government has another program, Making Home Affordable, to help homeowners refinance their home mortgages that they can no longer afford. Instead of letting the chips fall where they may and have prices find a bottom and adjust, we have the drip-drip-drip torture of these programs and the recession drags on.
New home sales fell 32.7% from April to a record low seasonally adjusted annual rate of 300,000. Compared to last year the sales fell 18.3%. In addition the previously reported sales numbers for March and April were adjusted downward.
Here is what we have. Our government is taking our tax dollars and giving them to people to help them buy a house. You may be struggling to pay your own mortgage and instead of the government letting you keep more of your own money and perhaps make an extra payment on your own mortgage to lower your outstanding debt or increase spending which would help grow the economy, you are paying for your mortgage and your neighbor’s. Instead of letting those who can’t afford their mortgage face that reality, the government steps in and drags out the process. If government got out of the way, then the banks would have the incentive to negotiate in good faith rather than looking for a government bailout. If a mortgage is salvageable, they should renegotiate with the homeowner and take a small loss rather than a big one. If the mortgage is not salvageable, then foreclose or short sell it and be done with it. The housing overhang on the economy would get quickly sorted out and we could return to a more stable housing market. Get the government out of the way and let us keep our tax dollars.
In 1920-21 there was a steep and serious recession. This was before the age of government intervention of Hoover, FDR and all who followed. Businesses were able to cut wages and react to the circumstances in that freer market. Unemployment peaked at 11.7%, almost 2% higher than we have now, but by the following year it was down to 6.7% and they year after it fell further to 2.4%. We are a year and a half into the current mess and the current administration seems intent on matching FDR’s record of stretching this out for eight years. We have a robust economy that can rebound sharply, if the government gets out of the way. But this government keeps tinkering and the economy keeps bouncing along the bottom. And let’s not forget fraud.
The Treasury’s Inspector General for Tax Administration, J. Russell George, reported that 19,000 filers for the first time home buyers credit hadn’t purchased a home and there were 74,000 filers had purchased a home but it was not their first. In additiona there were 53 cases where IRS employees filed “illegal or inappropriate” claims for the credit and today we learn that $9 million was stolen by prisoners who were incarcerated when they filed for the credit. So don’t worry folks your tax dollars are not only prolonging the recession, but they are being stolen as well. Feel better about your benevolent government? Aren’t you glad we live in a country where your government can forcefully take the fruit of your labor and throw it to the wind?
Government that governs least governs best. Let’s cut the beast down to size.
An in depth article in the New York Times titled, “Lapses Found in Oversight of Failsafe Device on Oil Rig,” covers at length the problems surrounding the technology and methods employed to prevent the disaster that we see every day on our television screens, newspapers, and the Internet. It also points to the nearly complete lack of oversight and enforcement by the federal government to protect us. Politicians like to write legislation and put flowery titles on the same and gather for the cameras for signing ceremonies, but when it comes to the heavy lifting of enforcing the laws put in place they often fall down on the job.
When disaster strikes the typical Washington reaction is to add more regulations that eventually become so complex and contradictory that compliance becomes nearly impossible (e.g., Internal Revenue Code). In the case of the oil spill in the Gulf the article points out that studies were conducted in 2003, seven years ago, on failure points to prevent the situation we are living with today, but no requirements to put them in place or test them were instituted.
The article focuses on a device called a blind shear, whose purpose is, in the event of an accident like what happened on the Deepwater Horizon, to activate a pair of shear blades to cut the pipe that rises from the well and seal the well shut. The reliability of single blind shears has only proved to be about 46%. With this empirical data, new wells are installing two such devices for redundancy and backup. Such a recommendation was made to the Materials Management Service (the government agency regulating drilling) in 2001, nine years ago, but the MMS took no actions on the recommendation. In 2003, the MMS received a recommendation that would require the necessary underwater robots and testing of emergency backup systems, but again the MMS, demurred. The practice has been that the MMS simply took the drilling industries word that they were taking steps to prevent problems.
In 2003, the Deepwater Horizon rig has a problem in a storm that caused the rig to break away from the well it was drilling, the blind shear worked perfectly in that case giving the company a false sense of confidence in the technology. What happened next is revealing:
The following year, BP opted to remove a layer of redundancy from the blowout preventer. It asked Transocean to replace one of the blowout preventer’s secondary rams with a “test ram” — a device that would save BP money by reducing the time it took to conduct certain well tests. In a joint letter, BP and Transocean executives confirmed that BP was aware that the change “will reduce the built-in redundancy” and raise Transocean’s “risk profile.” – New York Times, 20 June 2010, pA1
Since the MMS did not require two blowout preventers, BP was in the clear to remove one. Also, consider the term “risk profile,” and think of this in terms of a free market where insurance companies played a role. If you increased the risk profile and didn’t want to have your policy canceled in its entirety for hiding that fact, the insurance company would no doubt increase BP premiums for the increased “risk profile.” Since this effort was a cost saving measure, having to pay more in insurance might have changed the equation such that BP would leave things as they were with two blowout preventers. But the government encouraged deep water drilling, the government put a cap on the amount of damages that a drilling company would have to pay that created a moral hazard, the government ignored recommendations to required greater safety measures and the government was lax in enforcing those regulations it had in place, instead relying on taking the industry’s word that all was well.
On a separate issue regarding the cleanup, in an article in the Wall Street Journal titled, “The President Does a Jones Act,” it states that in the two weeks following the disaster, thirteen countries contacted our government offering assistance with the clean up. Our government turned the offers down. As the State Department put it:
“While there is no need right now that the U.S. cannot meet, the U.S. Coast Guard is assessing these offers of assistance to see if there will be something which we will need in the near future.” One month later, many of these offers are still outstanding. – Wall Street Journal, 19 June 2010
The Belgians reportedly have the ships and technology that could clean up the mess in the Gulf in one-third the time than is currently estimated. All it requires is suspending the Jones Act of 1920. Bush did it almost immediately in the wake of Hurricane Katrina so that foreign ships could come in and provide temporary housing for the hurricane victims. Officials in the Obama Administration weakly respond that “no one has asked them yet,” to suspend the Jones Act. What are they waiting for? Doesn’t Obama and everyone in his administration to hit the Sunday talk shows tell us that they has been on top of this since day one? One plausible reason for the hesitation is that it might offend the maritime unions.
We are continually told by this administration that we need more government expertise telling us how to run our lives. Surrender your liberties, we’ll take care of you. I don’t think so. What do you think?







